Abstract | BACKGROUND:
Influenza pandemic outbreaks occurred in the US in 1918, 1957, and 1968. Historical evidence suggests that the majority of influenza-related deaths during the 1918 US pandemic were attributable to bacterial pneumococcal infections. The 2009 novel influenza A (H1N1) outbreak highlights the importance of interventions that may mitigate the impact of a pandemic. METHODS: A decision-analytic model was constructed to evaluate the impact of 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) on pneumococcal disease incidence and mortality during a typical influenza season (13/100) and a severe influenza pandemic (30/100). Outcomes were compared for current PCV7 vaccination practices vs. no vaccination. The model was estimated using published sources and includes indirect (herd) protection of non-vaccinated persons. RESULTS: The model predicts that PCV7 vaccination in the US is cost saving for a normal influenza season, reducing pneumococcal-related costs by $1.6 billion. In a severe influenza pandemic, vaccination would save $7.3 billion in costs and prevent 512,000 cases of IPD, 719,000 cases of pneumonia, 62,000 IPD deaths, and 47,000 pneumonia deaths; 84% of deaths are prevented due to indirect (herd) protection in the unvaccinated. CONCLUSIONS: PCV7 vaccination is highly effective and cost saving in both normal and severe pandemic influenza seasons. Current infant vaccination practices may prevent >1 million pneumococcal-related deaths in a severe influenza pandemic, primarily due to herd protection.
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Authors | Jaime L Rubin, Lisa J McGarry, Keith P Klugman, David R Strutton, Kristen E Gilmore, Milton C Weinstein |
Journal | BMC infectious diseases
(BMC Infect Dis)
Vol. 10
Pg. 14
(Jan 21 2010)
ISSN: 1471-2334 [Electronic] England |
PMID | 20092638
(Publication Type: Journal Article, Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't)
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Chemical References |
- Heptavalent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine
- Pneumococcal Vaccines
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Topics |
- Adolescent
- Adult
- Aged
- Child
- Child, Preschool
- Costs and Cost Analysis
- Heptavalent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine
- Humans
- Immunity, Herd
- Incidence
- Infant
- Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype
- Influenza, Human
(economics, epidemiology)
- Middle Aged
- Models, Economic
- Pneumococcal Infections
(economics, epidemiology, prevention & control)
- Pneumococcal Vaccines
(administration & dosage, economics)
- Public Health
(economics)
- Young Adult
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